Luxe Austin Homes - demand

"The National Observer: Real Estate: National housing market shifts amid spring season"

Editor's note: Here's a look at The National Observer: Real Estate, a roundup of top real estate news from across The Business Journals' network of publications.

Austin Business Journal shares, "Dallas tends to top the country on a lot of metrics, and it can count new housing supply as another feather in its cap.

The Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex experienced a 27% growth in new housing from 2010 to 2023, or 9% higher than its predicted growth of 18%, according to a new study by the George W. Bush Institute-SMU Economic Growth Initiative. It's also much higher than the average metro growth rate of 15%.

Although DFW is becoming more expensive as more jobs and people move there, its new housing supply is helping to keep home prices and rents…

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"Housing market shifts to favor buyers — but they're not buying"

Austin Business Journal writes, "Like much else about the U.S. economy, tariffs and broader uncertainty are weighing on home sales amid the industry's crucial spring season.

In March, more than 375,000 homes were newly listed on the market — an increase of nearly 9% compared to the same time last year, according to Zillow Group Inc. (Nasdaq: ZG) research. But newly pending sales were flat compared to last year, despite slightly lower average mortgage rates in March 2025 compared to a year ago.

That's despite several aspects of the market — including price cuts hitting their highest point in at least seven years — shifting to favor buyers.

Inventory rose to 1.15 million homes in March, an increase of 19% from last year and the most inventory…

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"Post-pandemic effects on housing market still linger across Travis County"

Community Impact writes, "This year’s appraisal valuations from the Travis Central Appraisal District show that single-family residences experienced an average 3.4% decline in market value compared to last year.

However, the median market value for a residential homestead in Travis County is still up 46%, or $163,841, since pre-pandemic levels in 2019.

The big picture

Beginning April 9, more than 488,000 Travis County property owners received their appraisal notices by mail. The notices include the market value assigned to a property as of Jan. 1, as well as the taxable value of that property based on its exemptions.

“Property owners can review their 2025 values on our website and should expect to receive their notices of appraised value over the next…

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"More listings add much-needed housing inventory, but some homes are sitting on the market longer"

Austin Business Journal writes, "The first few weeks of 2025 have brought an uptick in home listings, but whether housing inventory currently on the market is priced to sell remains to be seen.

New for-sale listings rose 7.9% in the four-week period ending Feb. 2 compared to the same timeframe a year earlier, according to data from Redfin Corp. (Nasdaq: RDFN). Despite the increased inventory, pending sales were still down 8.1% year over year.

Some of the pending sales slowdown could be seasonal or related to economic uncertainty, but mortgage rates and high home prices — including among newly listed inventory — are also keeping many would-be buyers sidelined.

Inventory is beginning to accumulate, and some homes are taking longer to sell, largely…

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"4 things to know about Austin’s housing market in 2025"

ATX Today writes, "Predictable, steady, opportunity. Those are the words Unlock MLS Housing Economist Dr. Clare Knapp used to describe Austin’s housing market this year at the Austin Board of Realtors Headquarters today.

If you’re looking to buy or sell a home in the Capital City in 2025, here’s what to expect. 

1. Predictable mortgage rates

Knapp said mortgage rates will likely stay in the 6% range during the first half of the year and might dip into the 5% range later in 2025.

2. Consistent home prices + sales

Active listings in Austin were up by nearly 15% in 2024, and Knapp said healthy inventory is expected to carry over into 2025. Home sales and prices will probably remain flat, but Knapp emphasized that prospects may still be…

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"Millennials desperate for affordable homes are willing to make surprising concessions"

Austin Business Journal reports, "Few millennials believe their generation can afford a home, and some are so desperate for an affordable purchase they would be willing to buy a home with serious defects.

According to a new survey of millennials by Clever Real Estate, just 21% of millennials believe their generation can afford a home, a substantial decline from 52% who said the same in early 2024. Additionally, 96% of respondents said they have concerns about purchasing a home, with 44% saying they're worried about finding an affordable home — up from 35% in 2024.

The report notes that the median home price is about $420,000, but 68% of millennials who want to buy a home in 2025 want to spend less than $400,000. That's up from 57% who planned to…

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"Housing Market Predictions For 2025: When Will Home Prices Drop?"

Forbes Advisor writes, "Home prices remain at record highs and mortgage rates are climbing again. Is there any relief in sight for buyers? Potentially. Although home prices continue to break records, they’re rising at a slower pace due to loosening inventory and sluggish demand—and experts project further price growth deceleration in 2025.

Meanwhile, even as many are still waiting for lower mortgage rates before taking the home-buying plunge, pending sales data indicates that at least some prospective buyers are starting to dip their toe into the market.

In fact, experts say now might be the ideal time for buyers to get ahead of a potential demand surge in 2025—one that could drive home prices up again and leave some would-be homeowners out in…

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"There Are Now 30 Renters for Every Home for Sale in the U.S."

Realtor.com reports, "the number of homes for sale for each renter household in the U.S. remains near record lows, highlighting the supply crunch that first-time buyers face in the current housing market.

Currently, there are about 30 renter households for each available home for sale, up from less than 10 in 2006, according to Freddie Mac’s latest market outlook report.

The supply shortage dates back to the Great Recession, which dealt a major blow to new home construction. Since then, construction has slowly increased, but failed to keep pace with demand, resulting in a shortage of at least 1.5 million homes.

“Therefore, not only do people seeking to buy their first home have to navigate an expensive market, but they also have to compete…

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"Mortgage rates finally fell, but homebuyers still face a big problem"

Austin Business Journal writes, "The Federal Reserve may have cut interest rates last month, but homebuyers still face a challenge when assessing the current market for real estate: home prices.

Prices were up 5.9% in the third quarter this year over the same three-month period in 2023, according to data from Fannie Mae. While that increase is down from a 6.4% spike in the second quarter, it’s still a substantial jump for buyers who are looking for a home.

Mark Palim, Fannie Mae senior vice president and chief economist, said the “robust” growth is because of a lack of supply. Many current owners don’t want to sell their homes and give up the low interest rate they obtained earlier only to step into a high-interest rate environment.

“Even though…

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"Down Payments Are Dropping From Historic Highs—See How Much Homebuyers Can Save Today"

Realtor.com writes, "homebuyers might be relieved to hear that down payments are finally dropping from recent historic highs.

A new report by Realtor.com® shows that the median down payment homebuyers plunked down from July to September of 2024 was an average of 14.5%—or $30,300.

That’s a $2,400 savings from last quarter’s historic peak of $32,700 (14.9%).

So why are down payments dropping? Fewer homebuyers are out there, which gives those who do brave today’s market more leverage, according to Realtor.com senior economic research analyst Hannah Jones.

“The annual decline in down payments is the result of less buyer competition in the third quarter,” Jones says. “Easing demand and increasing inventory gave buyers more flexibility last…

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