Luxe Austin Homes - demand

"Are bidding wars over? Here's how many Austin homebuyers are paying above asking price"

Austin Business Journal writes, "while high interest rates are prompting many sellers to drop prices at a record pace nationally, 13% of homes in the Austin metro are still selling above the listing price.

That's according to a new analysis of data from Redfin Corp., which found 32% of homes nationally sold above listing price in October — up 2.7 percentage points from a year ago.

As we've noted, a variety of factors suggest the housing market is shifting to give buyers more leverage in many markets. However, prices remain significantly elevated and, in many metros, are still on the rise — just not at the rapid pace of recent years.

In the Austin metro, homes sold for an average of 97% of the listing price in October.

Housing supply and…

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"Apartment rents have declined in Austin recently, but will the trend continue into 2024?"

Austin was one of the top three U.S. metros that saw the most significant rent declines in November, a new report says, and some experts believe the trend could continue into next year.

Austin experienced a 5.4% decrease year over year, with a median asking rent of $1,575. That's according to Realtor.com’s recently released November Rental Report. The other two metros that had the most significant rent declines were Orlando, Fla., (down 6%) and Dallas (down 4.1%).

In mid-November, Orphe Divounguy, a senior economist at Zillow, said the Austin housing market has cooled down due to the construction boom and declining housing affordability in the past year.

"As the vacancy rate rises, the growth of rent (and home values) is anticipated to…

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"Austin housing market crystal ball: See what some experts expect, predict for 2024"

Austin American-Statesman writes, "new housing developments continue to spread across Central Texas, but experts say more homes are still needed to keep pace with demand.

"The Austin new home market overall was steady the last half of the year," said Ben Caballero, CEO of HomesUSA.com. a real estate agent and CEO of Dallas-based HomesUSA.com. “As we head into the holiday season and start the new year, we have the Texas advantage on our side, as we continue to attract large employers. This relocation means a continuing need for more homes, and Austin builders are doing their best to create more inventory."

Caballero said the new-home market in the Austin region is poised for growth, if what many leading economists are predicting comes true – that…

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"Austin Housing Market About to Hit Turning Point"

Newsweek reports, "Austin, Texas, the fastest-growing large metro area at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, is set to see house prices plummet as sellers look to come to terms with buyers who are interested in purchasing homes but struggle to contend with elevated prices, analysts told Newsweek.

The city saw population growth of 5 percent between 2020 and 2022, and housing demand helped push up prices.

"There is so much in-migration of households that has been a real support for both rental and owner occupied housing markets," Brad Case, chief economist at real estate developer Middleburg Communities, told Newsweek.

That dynamic is shifting, Case suggested, as buyers balk at the high prices, which will force sellers to adjust.

"If you…

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"NAR Forecasts 4.71 Million Existing-Home Sales, Improved Outlook for Home Buyers in 2024"

Austin, Texas named top real estate market with most pent-up housing demand next year

WASHINGTON (December 13, 2023) – "NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun forecasts that 4.71 million existing homes will be sold, the housing market is expected to grow, and Austin, Texas will be the top real estate market to watch in 2024 and beyond. Yun unveiled the association's forecast yesterday during NAR's fifth annual year-end Real Estate Forecast Summit: The Year Ahead.

Yun predicts home sales will begin to rise next year – by 13.5% compared to 2023, and the median home price will reach $389,500 – an increase of 0.9% from this year.

"Metro markets in southern states will likely outperform others due to faster job increases, while markets in the Midwest will…

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"Median home prices down almost 8.4% in Austin-area year-over-year"

 Austin American-Statesman shares, "there was good news for homebuyers in the latest monthly report from the Austin Board of Realtors last week.

With rising inventory and lower prices, Central Texas' cooling housing market has provided more choices and leverage for buyers, board officials and other experts say.

Here are some key takeaways from the November report.

Median price

• Across the Austin Round-Rock region from Georgetown to San Marcos, the median price of the homes that sold in November fell 8.4% year-over-year to $424,450, indicating Austin’s housing supply is becoming available at lower price points, board officials said. They were quick to point out, however, that prices remain "considerably elevated relative to pre-pandemic…

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"Despite challenges, international homebuyers juice Central Texas' real estate market"

Austin Amerian-Statesman shares, "Mandar and Asmita Shinde are international homebuyers from India who, after seven years of living in Seattle, now call Austin home. 

Mandar Shinde, a tech business developer for Amazon, originally came to the U.S. from Nagpur, India.

He said Nagpur has similar weather to Austin, so "it literally feels like home here."

Since January, he and his wife, both 40, have been leasing a home in Liberty Hill. They are paying $2,375 a month in rent for a three-bedroom house with about 1,900 square feet, including a study.

But by next summer the Shindes and their 4-year-old son, Jai Shinde, plan to move into a new home in Leander once the house, which Perry Homes will start building soon, is completed. They expect to…

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"Top 10 Roadblocks for the Real Estate Market in 2024"

Realtor Magazine writes, "global unrest, economic uncertainty and eroding home affordability are among the top issues facing the real estate industry over the next year, according to The Counselors of Real Estate’s annual report, “Top 10 Issues Affecting Real Estate(link is external).” Each year, CRE surveys 1,000 real estate experts to gauge the emerging issues that could have the most significant impact on all housing sectors, particularly the commercial market.

“This past year has been challenging for some and opportunistic for others as the economy, office market and innovation continue to evolve and impact the market,” says CRE Global Chair William McCarthy. “Additionally, the housing shortage and infrastructure issues continue to cause…

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"September data shows Austin metro housing inventory hit 8-year high"

Community Impact Austin shares, "housing inventory in the Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area hit the highest levels in more than eight years in September, according to the Austin Board of Realtors’ metro data for September.

The overview

According to ABoR officials in a news release, in September, Travis County and Hays County both had more than four month’s worth of inventory while Williamson County had slightly more than three months worth. Bastrop County had the highest inventory in the MSA with five months worth.

In addition to high inventory, data shows that year-over-year home sales and median home prices dropped across the MSA—by 18.2% and 4.3%, respectively—while active listings increased by 7.8%. Homes also spent an average of 65…

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"Austin-area housing inventory rises as affordability challenges mount"

Austin Business Journal reports, "the Austin metro’s housing inventory is the highest it’s been in more than eight years.

Inventory in the region hit the four-month mark in September, according to the Austin Board of Realtor’s monthly market data. Inventory represents how long it would take to sell all of the homes on the market if new listings stopped, and housing experts say six months of inventory typically represents a healthy balance between supply and demand.

While that may sound promising for a region that's experienced a dearth of new homes, it takes some pain to have the gain. The number of closed sales is notably down. ABOR housing economist Clare Losey said this could be caused by a number of factors, including high interest rates and…

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